Cardinals vs Lions Prediction
The Lions have not covered a line all season and…
Ravens vs Titans Prediction
The Ravens have been the better side by a distance and the Titans have found points hard to come by, but 11.5 is almost exactly where I have this. That leaves the overs at 42.5 as the only number I want.
NFL Week 4 • 2026
Model Predicted Final Score
BAL
$1.12
Monday, October 5 • 4:00am AEDT
30 : 19
M&T Bank Stadium
TEN
$6.40
Ravens by 11 points
Model Predicted Margin
Ravens by 11
Current Market
Ravens -11.5
0.5 pts tighter
Our Bets This Game
LINETitans +11.5NO EDGE
$1.91
TOTALOver 42.5
$1.83
MULTITitans +11.5, Over 42.5 & Derrick Henry Anytime TD
$5.24
Claim Tips at Dabble - Offer dabble
Odds correct at time of posting
The Ravens are giving 11.5 to a Titans side still looking for a win and I land in the same place as the bookies. The total is the number that looks wrong here, not the line.
This is the sort of fixture the bookies price properly, so the interest is elsewhere. The Ravens have been comfortably the more efficient offence of these two through three weeks, and the Titans are still looking for their first win, so a line in double figures is not an insult to anybody.
I make it Ravens by 11 and the market wants 11.5. I think the Ravens win this at a canter, but half a point of difference is not a bet in either direction, so the line does nothing for me and the price on the favourite does less.
The total is the whole reason to open this game up. The bookies have gone to 42.5 and I get to 49. The Ravens are putting up 30.7 points a game, so a number that low only survives if the Titans are held to next to nothing, and I have them for 19 against a defence that gave up 31 to the Cowboys last week.
The official report is in. The Ravens are without both their centres and Trey Hendrickson, with Zay Flowers and Ronnie Stanley questionable, but the quarterback carries no designation, so the engine of that offence is intact. The Titans have nobody ruled out, and the total has come in to 42.5 since midweek, which only widens the gap I already liked.
Ravens vs Titans Form Guide
Points per game
BAL30.7
TEN12.3
Points conceded per game
BAL26.0
TEN19.7
Offensive success rate
BAL53.6%
TEN42.8%
Baltimore Ravens
WLW
- WK 3: W 34-31 @ Cowboys
- WK 2: L 17-24 vs Saints
- WK 1: W 41-23 @ Colts
Tennessee Titans
LLL
- WK 3: L 7-12 @ Giants
- WK 2: L 20-24 vs Eagles
- WK 1: L 10-23 vs Jets
Season to date, weeks 1-3.
Ravens vs Titans Tip
I have the Ravens winning by 11, which is line ball against a number of 11.5, so the total is where my money goes.
Ben’s Verdict
The line is fair, the price on the favourite is short, and the total is the one the bookies have underdone. I will take the overs and leave the line and the winner well alone.
Our Bets
LINE Titans +11.5NO EDGE$1.91
TOTAL Over 42.5$1.83
MULTI Titans +11.5, Over 42.5 & Derrick Henry Anytime TD$5.24
Player prop predictions
Tony Pollard 60 or more rushing yards, $2.30. Tony Pollard got to 60 or more in 11 of his last 20 games, and he’s cleared it in two of three so far this year, the latest a 74. At $2.30 you’re being paid better than that record says you should be.
Derrick Henry anytime touchdown, $1.50. Derrick Henry has scored a touchdown in 12 of his last 20 games, and he’s gone in every week this year for six across three. I have the Ravens winning by 11, so expect him in the end zone again.
The multi, $5.24. Titans +11.5 at $1.91, Over 42.5 at $1.83 and Derrick Henry Anytime TD at $1.50. Three legs, the prop being the one with the strongest record on the board.
Prop prices from Sportsbet at the time of posting; the multi is the legs multiplied together. Records are game logs from last season (regular season and playoffs) and this season so far, checked against NFL.com. Compare before you bet. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Up Next in the NFL
Key Facts
| Match | Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans |
| Date | Monday, October 5 |
| Kick-off | 4:00am AEDT |
| Venue | M&T Bank Stadium |
| Round | NFL Week 4 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | I have the Ravens winning by 11, which is line ball against a number of 11.5, so the total is where my money goes. |
| Predicted Score | Ravens 30 – Titans 19 |
Baltimore Ravens vs Tennessee Titans FAQs
Who will win Ravens vs Titans?
The Ravens, by about 11 on my numbers. The Titans are still without a win and have found scoring hard work, while the Ravens have been the most efficient thing in this fixture by a wide margin.
Is there value on the Ravens vs Titans line?
No. The bookies have the Ravens giving 11.5 and I make the margin 11, and half a point of difference is nowhere near enough for me to call a bet on either side of it.
What’s the total for Ravens vs Titans?
I get to 49 and the market sits at 42.5. That is the widest gap I have anywhere on this game and the Ravens’ scoring rate is the reason, so the overs is the bet.
Have the Ravens and Titans met recently?
Not in the last two seasons, so there is no recent meeting between these two to work from. This one gets judged purely on what each side has shown in the first three weeks.
Who are the Baltimore Ravens playing next week?
The Ravens travel to play the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Monday 12 October (AEDT) in NFL Week 5.
Who are the Tennessee Titans playing next week?
The Titans host the Houston Texans at Nissan Stadium on Monday 12 October (AEDT) in NFL Week 5.
