NFL Week 3: Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

NFL Week 3 opens with the Packers hosting the Falcons on Friday morning our time, and the Cowboys and Ravens take the league to Brazil on Monday. The bulk of the card lands Monday morning AEST and the Bears and Eagles close the week out on Tuesday. Eight of the sixteen games clear the three point gap I want this early in the season, and four of those eight are overs alone, with the Packers and Falcons, the Browns and Panthers, the Lions and Jets and the Commanders and Seahawks all set lower than my numbers can accept. The widest line belongs to the Chiefs, who are giving 11.5 to the Dolphins, seven and a half points more than I have them winning by. Below you will find our tips, predictions and best bets for every Week 3 game, with the recommended play for each ready to take to your preferred NFL betting site.

NFL Tips

MatchOur TipMargin
Packers vs Falcons Packers7 pts
Bills vs Chargers Bills9 pts
Browns vs Panthers Panthers1 pts
Lions vs Jets Lions7 pts
Colts vs Texans Colts1 pts
Jaguars vs Patriots Jaguars2 pts
Dolphins vs Chiefs Chiefs4 pts
Giants vs Titans Giants6 pts
Steelers vs Bengals Bengals1 pts
Commanders vs Seahawks Seahawks8 pts
49ers vs Cardinals I
Buccaneers vs Vikings Vikings1 pts
Cowboys vs Ravens Ravens2 pts
Saints vs Raiders Saints5 pts
Broncos vs Rams Rams1 pts
Bears vs Eagles Eagles1 pts

NFL Week 3 Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Miami Dolphins NFL matchup prediction graphic

Dolphins vs Chiefs Prediction

The market wants 10.5 points between two sides that both missed the playoffs last season. I have the Chiefs winning by four, 26 to 22, which leaves the Dolphins and the points as the bet on this game.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots NFL matchup prediction graphic

Jaguars vs Patriots Prediction

The Patriots were in the Super Bowl in February and they arrive here as outsiders getting 2.5. I have the Jaguars by two, which is close enough to the line that I am not betting either of them.

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts NFL matchup prediction graphic

Colts vs Texans Prediction

The Texans have won the last four meetings between these two and the market has priced them as favourites again. I have the Colts winning 24 to 23, and that disagreement is worth backing at $1.86.

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets NFL matchup prediction graphic

Lions vs Jets Prediction

The Lions win this one and the interesting part is not the winner. I have 53 points in the game against a market of 48.5, so the overs is the bet and the side is something I am happy to…

Carolina Panthers vs Cleveland Browns NFL matchup prediction graphic

Browns vs Panthers Prediction

I have the Panthers winning this 23 to 22, which tells you how little there is in it on the line itself. The number that matters is the total, where the market sits well shy of my own figure and…

Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers NFL matchup prediction graphic

Bills vs Chargers Prediction

The Bills will win this and I make the margin nine, 30 to 21. The line is 7.5 and the total is 50.5, and both of those sit close enough to my own numbers that I cannot find a bet…

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers NFL matchup prediction graphic

Packers vs Falcons Prediction

The Packers should win this and the market already knows it. I have them 27 to 20 and the line sits at 5.5, which is no argument worth having, so the overs at 43.5 is where the value is on…

NFL Week 3 Best Bets

8 Best Bets we’re locking in for NFL Week 3. Each one is a spot where the model finds value at the current market price. The full reasoning sits inside the individual prediction posts.

  • Packers vs Falcons · I have the Packers winning 27 to 20, seven points into a line of 5.5, so the overs at 43.5 for $1.85 is the bet rather than the side.
  • Browns vs Panthers · I have the Panthers edging it 23 to 22 against a line of 2.5, a point and a half short of an edge, but the total sits three and a half points off my figure and the overs at $1.85 is the bet on this game.
  • Lions vs Jets · I have the Lions winning 30 to 23 for 53 points, five and a half above the line, so the overs at 47.5 for $1.85 is the bet on this game.
  • Colts vs Texans · I have the Colts winning 24 to 23 against a line that has them getting 2.5, so the Colts and the points at $2.00 is the bet on this game.
  • Dolphins vs Chiefs · I have the Chiefs winning 26 to 22, four points into a line of 11.5, so the Dolphins and the points at $1.88 is the bet on this game.
  • Giants vs Titans · I have the Giants winning 26 to 20 with 46 points in it, so the overs at $1.95 is the bet on this game, with the Giants giving 2.5 at $1.82 the second.
  • Commanders vs Seahawks · I have the Seahawks winning 27 to 19 for 46 points, five and a half above the line, so the overs at 40.5 for $1.91 is the bet on this game.
  • Bears vs Eagles · I have the Eagles winning 23 to 22, one point into a line of 4.5, so the Bears and the points at $1.90 is the bet on this game.

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