Warrnambool Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Warrnambool Horse Racing Tips Thu 20/8/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 20 August 2026

$6 for Princess Mess in Race 6 is the reason we’re here, and we keep coming back to it. Heavy 10 at Warrnambool with showers about, so the ground is doing plenty of the work today. She’s drawn 10 in a field of 10 and settles midfield, which normally scares people off. On this sort of going, sitting off a soft speed and getting a clean run late is worth more than a good gate. Colt Forty Five in the 7 at $5.50 is the other one we’re keen on. Two from the card, and that’s plenty.

Raceday weather forecast · 20 Aug 2026Track Heavy 10   Rail True
Morning
Patchy rain nearby
9-12°C
Rain 42% · 0.2mm
Wind 17 km/h NNW
Feels like 6-9°C
Afternoon
Heavy rain
9-13°C
Rain 95% · 13.3mm
Wind 28 km/h WSW
Feels like 6-10°C
Heavy rain about, expect a genuinely testing surface that eases further as the day goes on.
Forecast for Warrnambool, Victoria · WeatherAPI.com · captured 9:58am Thu 20 Aug
Race 6Best Bet
3:30pm · 1100m · Handicap · 10 runners

5. Princess Mess $6.00

Barrier 10 · Midfield · Soft pace

Soft speed in a 1100m on a Heavy 10 is the whole race. #5 Princess Mess has gate 10, which sounds bad, but with no one wanting to lead Billy Egan can push her forward and sit handy instead of getting stuck wide. #2 Moonraker settles even further back at $4.20, and on this ground I don’t want a horse doing that at the short quote. Payne has her ready. $6, on her to win.

Race 7
4:00pm · 1400m · Handicap · 14 runners

6. Colt Forty Five $5.50

Barrier 9 · Midfield · No leader

I’m on #6 Colt Forty Five at $5.50. Two seconds on the bounce says he’s knocking on the door, and Will Gordon gets to settle him midfield instead of fighting for a spot in a 14-horse field. The worry is the Heavy 10 over 1400m. Happy to wear that at the price.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact