Caulfield Horse Racing Tips Sat 10/10/26
Caulfield runs a staying card, from 1100m out to 2400m,…
Warrnambool Horse Racing Tips Thu 3/9/26
Everyone will be on Trump Card in the 7, and at $4.20 he needs to win a fair bit more often than we think he will from midfield in a race with no natural leader over 2350m. Warrnambool is a Heavy 8 with showers about, and that is the sort of ground where the horse that gets to run its own race is the one you want on your side. That is why we keep coming back to $6.50 for Dubai Dancer in the 5. She has drawn out wide in gate 11, which is why she is the price she is, but she can lead and the pace looks genuine over 1400m. Two we are keen on here. One of them the market has right, and one of them it does not.
Raceday weather forecast · 3 Sep 2026Track Heavy 8 Rail +4m
Morning
Light rain
11-12°C
Rain 75% · 3.1mm
Wind 28 km/h W
Feels like 7-8°C
Afternoon
Patchy rain nearby
11-13°C
Rain 12% · 0.0mm
Wind 30 km/h WSW
Feels like 7-8°C
Rain through the morning then easing, enough early to take the edge off the track before the first.
Forecast for Warrnambool, Victoria · WeatherAPI.com · captured 12:20pm Thu 3 Sep
Race 5Best Bet
3:30pm · 1400m · Handicap · 11 runners
1. Dubai Dancer $6.50
Barrier 11 · Leader · Genuine pace
Gate 11 is the knock, no hiding it. But #1 Dubai Dancer wants to lead and there’s genuine speed on, so she can be pushed forward without burning up to get there. She won three back and ran third next start; the flop last time is why she’s $6.50 and not half that. #6 Break The Taboo is $4 and has to come from behind them. I’m with Dubai Dancer at that price, to win.
Race 7
4:30pm · 2350m · Handicap · 13 runners
5. Trump Card $4.20
Barrier 7 · Midfield · No leader
Tongue tie on for the first time and the blinkers stay on. That’s a yard having a real crack with #5 Trump Card. He settles midfield from gate 7 over 2350m, which is exactly where I want to be, while #2 Bismarck at $5.50 has to wind up from gate 12 and further back again. At $4.20 I’m happy to be the one sitting closer. Gear, trip, spot in the run.
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Odds correct at time of writing
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