Launceston Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Launceston Horse Racing Tips Fri 25/9/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 25 September 2026

Nine races at Launceston and just three we’re keen on. Thin card, but that only means we’re picking our spots instead of forcing a bet in every race. Good 4 under cloud, so there’s enough give in the ground to matter over the short trips. In Race 6 they’ll go hard early, and that suits Geegees Mercedes settling back at $5, even from gate 10.

Raceday weather forecast · 25 Sep 2026Track Good 4   Rail +8m
Morning
Overcast
11-17°C
Rain 27% · 0.0mm
Afternoon
Patchy rain nearby
17-19°C
Rain 16% · 0.1mm
Feels like 14-16°C
Dry through the morning and afternoon, the track rating should hold.
Forecast for Launceston, Tasmania · WeatherAPI.com · captured 6:00pm Fri 25 Sep
Race 6
8:00pm · 1120m · Class 1 · 10 runners

6. Geegees Mercedes $5.00

Barrier 10 · Off Pace · Hot pace

They’ll go hard early here, and that plays right into #6 Geegees Mercedes’ hands. She’s run second at each of her past two, and a mare settling back needs a race truly run to have something to chase. Gate 10 means she’ll be wide, but I’d rather that than $3.40 on #7 Miss Lyra, who has to burn petrol to hold the front from the inside. $5 for Geegees Mercedes, happy to take it.

Race 8
9:00pm · 1220m · Class 3 · 7 runners

2. Benefitsofmine $4.00

Barrier 4 · Midfield · Soft pace

I’m on #2 Benefitsofmine at $4.00. He won last start, and that’s two wins from his last three, so the timing is right. Blinkers stay on, and from gate 4 in a field of seven he won’t get buried anywhere. #1 Ozonica at $2.45 looks short to me for a horse that has to lead and hold on. That price difference is the whole argument.

Race 9
9:30pm · 2150m · BM68 · 7 runners

2. Merlin Beach $3.00

Barrier 5 · Midfield · No leader

Two wins from his last four, and #2 Merlin Beach gets gate 5 with Anthony Darmanin staying on. #3 Johnnie Pinch will be the one in front from gate 2, but one placing from his last five isn’t enough for me at $3.30. I’d rather have Merlin Beach at $3, and to win, not each-way.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact