Kembla Grange Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Kembla Grange Horse Racing Tips Thu 16/7/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 16 July 2026

Eight races at Kembla and we’ve landed on six, so there’s plenty to work through here. Track’s a Soft 5 and racing fine overhead, nothing tricky about the ground today. The read across the card is the same story most races, no genuine leader, so we keep leaning to horses that can settle off the speed and finish over the top. Best bet is Arizona Loner in Race 6, and at $9 for him we reckon that’s overs. Few we like at a price, so it’s a card worth digging into.

Raceday weather forecast · 16 Jul 2026Track Soft 5   Rail True
Morning
Cloudy
10-16°C
Rain 14% · 0mm
Afternoon
Cloudy
14-16°C
Rain 13% · 0mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Kembla, New South Wales · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:30am Thu 16 Jul
Race 2
12:40pm · 1300m · Mdn Hcp · 8 runners

11. Quadria $7.50

Barrier 3 · Off Pace · No leader

The favourite is the one I want to take on here. $1.75 for #4 Glissando off a single run, a fifth at that, is way too short for me. #11 Quadria draws the inside in gate 3, Grant Buckley sticks, and he’s back from a spell having run third only a couple back. At $7.50 he gives us plenty against a short one still finding his feet. Each-way.

Race 3
1:15pm · 1600m · Mdn Plate · 9 runners

3. Copartner Pegasus $7.50

Barrier 5 · Off Pace · No leader

Visors on for the first time and that’s what I like here. #3 Copartner Pegasus keeps finding the line, plenty of thirds and fourths without saluting, and the headgear should help him wind up late. Gate 5 lets Keagan Latham slot him in and swoop when they come back to him in a no-speed race. At $7.50 he’s a much better gamble than Clanwilliam at $1.85. I’m with him.

Race 4
1:55pm · 1200m · Mdn Hcp · 12 runners

3. Pariah Time $5.00

Barrier 6 · Off Pace · Soft pace

#3 Pariah Time ran a game second first-up and only improves second time. He does get back from gate 6, but he finishes his races off hard, so the soft tempo lets him swoop late. At $5 I’d rather have him than take $2.60 for #8 Written Doll.

Race 5
2:35pm · 1300m · Hcp (C1) · 8 runners

1. Onmalone $5.50

Barrier 3 · Off Pace · No leader

$5.50 for #1 Onmalone against a favourite with the same map trouble? Yes please. No genuine leader here, Cuesta sits off the pace too, and the blinkers going on from gate 3 let Andrew Adkins swoop him home late.

Race 6Best Bet
3:10pm · 1600m · Handicap · 9 runners

8. Arizona Loner $9.00

Barrier 8 · Midfield · No leader

$9 is overs and I’ll take it. #8 Arizona Loner won a couple back and ran third last start, Chad Schofield stays on, and from gate 8 he settles midfield with a genuine turn of foot. There’s no leader here, but the favourite sits just as far back at $1.70, so I won’t touch that price on a horse with the same problem. Arizona Loner to win.

Race 8
4:25pm · 1200m · Hcp (Bm68) · 10 runners

3. Heuristic $5.50

Barrier 1 · Midfield · No leader

No genuine leader, and #3 Heuristic draws the rail while the favourite has to come from gate 7 and get right back at $3.30. Give me the horse that saves ground every yard at $5.50.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact