Hobart Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Hobart Horse Racing Tips Sun 5/7/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 5 July 2026

Soft 5 at Hobart and the prices are the story today, three we’re keen on and they all sit right around the same mark. Lyco Reco is $4.40 in the opener, Valley Star $4.60 in Race 5, and Kakia $4.50 in the last. None of them are short, none of them are roughies, they’re the sort of prices where you feel like you’re getting paid to be right. It’s a soft card rather than a standout, so we’re not overloading it. Where’s the value? Spread across those three, and that suits us fine.

Raceday weather forecast · 5 Jul 2026Track Soft 5   Rail +9m
Morning
Patchy rain nearby
5-8°C
Rain 23% · 0.0mm
Afternoon
Clear
6-10°C
Rain 6% · 0mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Hobart, Tasmania · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:27am Sun 5 Jul
Race 1
11:04am · 2100m · Mdn (C1) · 8 runners

5. Lyco Reco $4.40

Barrier 1 · Off Pace · Soft pace

#5 Lyco Reco draws the rail while the favourite has to come from gate 5. Over 2100m on a soft track, that inside run matters. He ran second last start and gets in at $4.40. #6 Them’s The Breaks settles off the speed with the same problem, so I’m not taking $2.05 there. I’m with Lyco Reco.

Race 5
1:33pm · 1200m · Alexandra Plate · 12 runners

4. Valley Star $4.60

Barrier 7 · Midfield · Genuine pace

The favourite’s no good to me here. #10 Momentslikethese is $1.65 from gate 11, and that’s a wide draw to overcome for an odds-on quote. #4 Valley Star sits midfield with genuine speed to run at, comes in off a win and a second from his last two, and Kirra-Lee Lane rides for Leanne Gaffney. At $4.60 I get the better run and the better price. On him.

Race 9
4:10pm · 1410m · Hcp (Bm68) · 9 runners

5. Kakia $4.50

Barrier 5 · Off Pace · No leader

Tongue tie goes on and #5 Kakia comes to hand second-up. She won before the let-up, then ran fourth fresh, so this looks her race. No genuine leader means she has to finish it off, and she can. Maskiell rides from gate 5, and at $4.50 I’d rather have her than the $3.80 fav. Take her each-way.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact