Flemington Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Flemington Horse Racing Tips Sat 4/7/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 4 July 2026

Flemington Finals day, and there’s plenty to work through. We’ve landed on eight races out of nine, all on a Soft 7 with showers about, so the ground is against the leaders more than the market thinks. No single one we love, just a card full of finals with big fields and fair prices. We’ve gone through the lot, and there’s a few we’re keen on at odds if you stay selective and don’t chase every short one.

Raceday weather forecast · 4 Jul 2026Track Soft 7   Rail True
Morning
Patchy rain nearby
10-11°C
Rain 22% · 0.1mm
Afternoon
Light rain shower
11-12°C
Rain 29% · 0.6mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Melbourne, Victoria · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:34am Sat 4 Jul
Race 1
11:55am · 1200m · Series Final · 7 runners

1. Vivid Storm $5.00

Barrier 5 · Off Pace · Soft pace

$1.95 for #4 Stars Of Dom in a seven-horse field is too short for me. The pace looks soft, so #1 Vivid Storm has to come from off them, but that’s fine because he finishes his races off strongly. Second up off a win, gate 5, Harry Coffey stays on. At $5 he runs over the top of the fav late. I’m on him.

Race 2
12:30pm · 1600m · Final (L) · 8 runners

4. Ko Phangan $7.50

Barrier 4 · Pace · No leader

No genuine leader here, and #4 Ko Phangan can roll forward from gate 4 and dictate. The blinkers go on, Lachlan Neindorf stays put, and he ran a nice second earlier this prep before a let-up. Get him to the front on his own terms and they’ll have to chase him down. The favourite is $2.80 stuck in midfield from a wider gate, needing the run of the race. Give me the $7.50 up on speed.

Race 3
1:05pm · 1400m · Series Final · 10 runners

3. Grid Girl $8.50

Barrier 9 · Off Pace · Soft pace

Big overs here. #3 Grid Girl is $8.50 and drawn out in gate 9, so she gets right back, but she comes home hard and won three on the bounce last prep. On a soft track with no real speed up front, she can pick them off late while #4 Duchess Zou does all the work in front at $3.60. Happy to take the each-way.

Race 4
1:40pm · 2500m · Challenge Final · 16 runners

13. Sunsprite $7.50

Barrier 5 · Midfield · Genuine pace

Winkers going on first time is the hook. #13 Sunsprite draws 5, Jett Stanley stays on, and over 2500m of genuine tempo he can build into it from midfield. The favourite is $2.60 with the same job to do from gate 4. Give me the $7.50.

Race 6
2:55pm · 2600m · Series Final · 11 runners

4. Vegas Jack $6.50

Barrier 9 · Midfield · No leader

#4 Vegas Jack’s won his last four, so $6.50 looks big. #2 The Western Front sits in the same midfield spot at $4.80, no better placed and plenty shorter. He’ll be charging home over 2600m. Take him.

Race 7
3:30pm · 1600m · Final (L) · 13 runners

6. Seafall $7.00

Barrier 9 · Midfield · Genuine pace

Where’s the value in the mile? #6 Seafall at $7. The pace looks genuine, so the fav Al Duca has to grind away in front at $2.60 while Seafall settles off them and picks them off late. Four wins from his last five, blinkers on. All over him.

Race 8
4:10pm · 1200m · Stakes (L) · 14 runners

2. Wise Inlaw $6.50

Barrier 1 · Off Pace · Genuine pace

I’m with #2 Wise Inlaw here at $6.50. He draws the rail in gate 1 and settles off what looks a genuine speed battle, coming off a win and a second. The fav Chains Of Love has to do all the work in front at $3.60, while Wise Inlaw gets the soft run and is poised to pounce late.

Race 9
4:40pm · 1600m · Series Final · 12 runners

9. The Mean Fiddler $10.00

Barrier 2 · Off Pace · Genuine pace

The $3.30 favourite #1 Clevor Trever has to cross from gate 11, and that’s the crack in the race. #9 The Mean Fiddler gets the tuck-in from gate 2, and with genuine speed up front he can swoop late. Jye McNeil stays on. Ten bucks, I like him a lot.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact