Launceston Horse Racing Tips Fri 16/10/26
Soft 5 at Launceston with the rail out 6m the…
Casino Horse Racing Tips Thu 25/6/26
Casino is rated a Heavy 10, and even with fine weather overhead they’re slogging through proper heavy ground today. That sort of bog turns the form upside down, so we’re leaning on horses that handle the wet and get a soft run rather than the short ones up top. Race 1 is the one we love, where there’s no genuine leader and the map opens right up for Frictional Force from gate 2, and at $12 for him there’s real value to chase. We’ve found five worth a look across the six races, but the rest can wait behind that first one.
Raceday weather forecast · 25 Jun 2026Track Heavy 10 Rail True
Morning
Light rain shower
11-12°C
Rain 42% · 0.3mm
Afternoon
Light rain shower
12-16°C
Rain 38% · 0.6mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Casino, New South Wales · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:28am Thu 25 Jun
Race 1Best Bet
1:05pm · 1900m · Handicap · 5 runners
8. Frictional Force $12.00
Barrier 2 · Midfield · No leader
Our model’s top value pick in this race at $12.00. No clear leader, midfield trip from gate 2, on a heavy track.
Race 3
2:15pm · 1400m · Mdn Hcp · 8 runners
10. Strenuous $8.50
Barrier 6 · Midfield · Soft pace
Visors on for the first time, that’s the hook with #10 Strenuous. The favourite Navy Kiss controls things up front in a soft-run race, but at $1.55 it’s cramped for a horse that keeps running second without winning. Strenuous settles off them, and the new gear should help him build into it and run over the top late. At $8.50, I’m happy to take him on.
Race 4
2:50pm · 1300m · Hcp (Bm66) · 8 runners
8. Herald Angel $4.80
Barrier 7 · Off Midfield · Soft pace
Prestige Gundy is the one I want to beat at $3. In a soft-run race it settles last off the pace, and that’s a real query for a short one. #8 Herald Angel sits a length or two closer from gate 7, comes off a second last start, and Jett Newman stays on for Matthew Dunn. On a heavy track I’d rather take the horse with the better spot at $4.80 than the favourite with the harder run.
Race 5
3:25pm · 1000m · Hcp (Bm66) · 9 runners
4. Bring Me Saki $4.00
Barrier 1 · Midfield · Genuine pace
Genuine speed up front, gate 1, blinkers on. #4 Bring Me Saki gets towed into it while they burn the early sprint. At $4 he reads better than taking $3 on the fav stuck out in gate 8. I’m on him.
Race 6
4:05pm · 1400m · Hcp (Bm58) · 12 runners
2. Lofty Macsporran $4.20
Barrier 4 · Backmarker · Soft pace
#2 Lofty Macsporran is racing into this, a win and a third from his last three, and Matthew Dunn keeps them ticking over. Blinkers go back on, he draws 4, and settles close enough that he won’t need the race to fall in his lap. Jett Newman stays on. At $4.20, he’s the one I like.
Odds correct at time of writing
You win some. You lose more. For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
