Belmont Racing Tips

Belmont Horse Racing Tips Wed 19/8/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 19 August 2026

$5 for Grandad’s Adiction in the 4 is the price we keep coming back to at Belmont. He’s drawn 1 in an 11, horse field with no obvious leader, so he can sit where he likes and take the shortest way round. Soft 5 with cloud over the track, and it hasn’t gone silly wet, so the map matters more than the ground here. Five races we’re keen on across the card, and that one’s the anchor.

Raceday weather forecast · 19 Aug 2026Track Soft 5   Rail +14m
Morning
Patchy rain nearby
15-18°C
Rain 32% · 0.8mm
Wind 22 km/h W
Feels like 11-16°C
Afternoon
Patchy rain nearby
17-18°C
Rain 17% · 0.1mm
Wind 16 km/h WSW
Feels like 15°C
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Perth, Western Australia · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:50am Wed 19 Aug
Race 2
3:39pm · 1200m · Handicap · 11 runners

10. Blue Sparx $3.10

Barrier 4 · Midfield · No leader

Winkers on for the first time is the hook here. #10 Blue Sparx has run third at both his last two, gets gate 4, and with no genuine leader he can settle midfield and save something for the finish. The favourite #7 Boutique Belle sits even further back at $2.15, so I’m not touching the short one with the same problem. I’ll take Blue Sparx at $3.10.

Race 4Best Bet
4:49pm · 1650m · Handicap · 11 runners

8. Grandad’s Adiction $5.00

Barrier 1 · Midfield · No leader

I’m on #8 Grandad’s Adiction to win here. He drew the rail in gate 1, ran second last start, and Clint Johnston-Porter just has to hold that spot and get the cheapest run in the race over 1650m. #2 Back To Bondi at $3 has to burn petrol from gate 5 to get across and lead. $5 for the one saving ground. Have him.

Race 5
5:29pm · 2100m · Handicap · 13 runners

4. Must Be Nice $5.00

Barrier 6 · Midfield · Soft pace

Where’s the value at Belmont? #4 Must Be Nice at $5. He won last start, draws 6 in a big field, and Natasha Faithfull can park him midfield and let him build into it over 2100m. The danger #6 Awesome Force has gate 11 and a lot of ground to make up. Good enough for me.

Race 7
6:40pm · 1400m · Handicap · 11 runners

7. The Rocket $2.40

Barrier 7 · Pace · Soft pace

Nobody here looks keen to lead, and that suits #7 The Rocket. Blinkers on, won last start, and from gate 7 he can bounce out and take charge. $2.40 is short, but I’m happy to be on.

Race 8
7:15pm · 1400m · Handicap · 11 runners

6. Cosmic Spirit $3.90

Barrier 11 · Midfield · No leader

I’ll take $3.90 for #6 Cosmic Spirit even out of gate 11. William Pike goes on, blinkers first time, and she won two straight before her let-up. Happy to wear the wide draw.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact