Belmont Horse Racing Tips Wed 17/6/26

Michael Kruse
16 June 2026

Eight on the card at Belmont and we’ve only landed on three, so this is a meeting where we’d rather wait than have a swing in every race. The going is a Soft 7 with an overcast sky, so the ground is the thing to respect more than chase. Shaula in Race 5 is the one we’re keenest on at $5.50, sitting midfield from gate 3 in a race with no clear leader, which is the kind of shape that suits a horse that can pick its moment. The other two are at bigger prices and worth a look, but the read across the day is simple: pick your spots, leave the rest alone.

Raceday weather forecast · 17 Jun 2026Track Soft 7   Rail +12m
Morning
Light rain shower
4-15°C
Rain 34% · 0.5mm
Afternoon
Partly Cloudy
16-17°C
Rain 6% · 0mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Perth, Western Australia · WeatherAPI.com · captured 9:47am Wed 17 Jun
Race 5Best Bet
4:57pm · 2100m · Hcp (54+) · 11 runners

3. Shaula $5.50

Barrier 3 · Midfield · No leader

No genuine leader here, so where you settle matters. #3 Shaula draws gate 3, lands midfield, and ran third last start to show she’s knocking on the door. The favourite, #1 Maxwhooshtapin, carries the same query but settles even further back from gate 8, and I’m not taking $4.20 on that. Blinkers stay on, Lucy Fiore rides, and at $5.50 Shaula gets the closer run. On her to win.

Race 6
5:37pm · 2100m · Hcp (54+) · 14 runners

5. Barecove Rock $6.50

Barrier 5 · Midfield · Genuine pace

$6.50 on #5 Barecove Rock, and I’m happy to take it. Blinkers on, he settles midfield from gate 5, and he’s run third at each of his last two. There’s genuine speed up front, so he gets the tempo to come over the top of them late. The favourite, #1 Rock In Wonder, has to lead and hold the lot from $4.60. I’d rather have the closer at the bigger price.

Race 7
6:13pm · 1300m · Hcp (C1) · 13 runners

5. Miss Defies Me $8.00

Barrier 9 · Backmarker · Soft pace

Not taking $1.95 for #3 Reminiscence second-up. #5 Miss Defies Me gets back from gate 9, but she lets down late, and on a soft 7 that turn of foot pays. $8, she’s the one for me.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact