Belmont Racing Tips

Belmont Horse Racing Tips Sat 4/7/26

Michael Kruse
Updated 4 July 2026

Overcast day out at Belmont and the track’s rated a Soft 7, so they’ll be racing on a bit of give underfoot. We went through the eight races and landed on four worth a look, nothing we’re prepared to call a standout. Saturday Sesh at $6.50 in the second is the sort of price we like when a horse can settle off the speed, and the Aquanita Stakes in Race 6 has Linchpin at $8 from a handy draw. Soft ground makes the map matter, so we want runners who can find a spot early rather than get caught wide and worked over.

Raceday weather forecast · 4 Jul 2026Track Soft 7   Rail +5m
Morning
Overcast
8-15°C
Rain 15% · 0mm
Afternoon
Cloudy
16-18°C
Rain 6% · 0mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Maylands, Western Australia · WeatherAPI.com · captured 10:29am Sat 4 Jul
Race 2
3:18pm · 1200m · Platinum (Rs0ly) · 9 runners

1. Saturday Sesh $6.50

Barrier 4 · Off Pace · Soft pace

The favourite’s $3.20 and has to come from gate 9, so I’m happy to take it on. #1 Saturday Sesh won last start, draws softer in gate 4, and even in a slow-run race knows how to finish off late. The tongue tie stays on. At $6.50 I’d rather be with the one getting the better run than the short price doing it tough out wide.

Race 3
3:54pm · 1000m · Hcp (66+) · 10 runners

2. Keep Ita Mystery $4.00

Barrier 2 · Midfield · Genuine pace

Blinkers going on and William Pike in the saddle, that’s a booking I want at $4. #2 Keep Ita Mystery draws the fence in gate 2 and gets his chance in a genuinely run race from midfield. The favourite is $2.25 and sits in the same spot from a wider gate, so I’d rather take the better price on the one getting the softer run. On him.

Race 5
5:15pm · 1300m · Helfer (Rs1mw) · 17 runners

15. Western Jet $3.40

Barrier 3 · Off Pace · No leader

#15 Western Jet at $3.40. Gate 3, won two back and placed last start off a let-up, and with no genuine leader he’ll be swooping late over the top of them. Pike stays on. Have it.

Race 6
5:50pm · 2000m · Stakes (L) · 12 runners

5. Linchpin $8.00

Barrier 3 · Midfield · Genuine pace

Eight bucks is plenty on a horse that maps this well. #5 Linchpin draws inside in gate 3 and gets a lovely run midfield behind a genuine tempo, so he’ll be running them down late. #2 Westbound is $2.35 and has to work from gate 7. I’m on the overs.

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Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact