Ballina Racecourse horse racing tips and form preview

Ballina Horse Racing Tips Sun 21/6/26

Michael Kruse
20 June 2026

Heavy 10 at Ballina and we’ve found something to like in seven of the nine. The ground is the story. A lot of these races have no clear leader, so the run early is going to count for plenty, and the horses that can land midfield off a soft tempo are the ones we keep coming back to. He Is The Kiss in the last is the one we love, $4.80 and drawn to get the right run. Busy card, plenty going on, and the value sits with the off-pace types.

Raceday weather forecast · 21 Jun 2026Track Heavy 10   Rail True
Morning
Patchy rain nearby
14-18°C
Rain 23% · 0.1mm
Afternoon
Patchy light drizzle
16-18°C
Rain 33% · 0.5mm
Rain-affected underfoot but dry overhead, so the track should be on the improve through the day.
Forecast for Ballina, New South Wales · WeatherAPI.com · captured 9:51am Sun 21 Jun
Race 2
11:45am · 1590m · Mdn Hcp · 7 runners

4. Legin $8.50

Barrier 5 · Midfield · No leader

#2 Sheriff’s Star is too short for me at $1.80 on a Heavy 10. #4 Legin gets gate 5, keeps finding the placings without quite knocking one over, and from midfield he’s no worse off than the fav sitting just behind the same speed. Same problem, bigger price. At $8.50 each-way, I’m on.

Race 3
12:25pm · 1590m · (Bm66) Hcp · 6 runners

5. Sinatra $5.50

Barrier 2 · Off Pace · No leader

I’m on #5 Sinatra at $5.50. Won last start, blinkers stay on, and from gate 2 he lands close in a race with no genuine leader. The favourite has the same off-pace problem for a lot less. Easy call.

Race 4
1:00pm · 1000m · Mdn Plate · 10 runners

3. Akku $6.50

Barrier 2 · Midfield · Soft pace

Gate 2 and the blinkers on over the 1000m. #3 Akku gives me the better draw at $6.50, while #1 Torque So Hot has to weave through from gate 7 at $1.95. I’m with Akku.

Race 5
1:35pm · 1000m · (Bm58) Hcp · 8 runners

6. Secret Statement $7.50

Barrier 2 · Off Pace · No leader

Where’s the value in race 5? #6 Secret Statement at $7.50. The favourite’s $1.70 and short enough on a Heavy 10, while Secret Statement gets the rail from gate 2 with the tongue tie on to help him finish. No genuine leader up front, so he can creep into it and run over the top of them late. I’m taking the each-way.

Race 6
2:10pm · 1250m · Mdn Hcp · 7 runners

5. Coccinella $6.00

Barrier 6 · Off Pace · No leader

#5 Coccinella finally found the line for a third last start, and the blinkers and tongue tie come on now to sharpen him up. The fav settles off the speed the same as him, so $1.95 is no good to me from gate 1. I’ll take the $6. Done.

Race 7
2:50pm · 1250m · (Bm58) Hcp · 7 runners

4. Warrior Bae $5.00

Barrier 3 · Off Midfield · Soft pace

#4 Warrior Bae at $5 gets gate 3 and the blinkers go on to help him run them down late. The $2.40 fav’s too short to be doing all the work up front. On him.

Race 9Best Bet
4:10pm · 1590m · Hcp (C1) · 9 runners

10. He Is The Kiss $4.80

Barrier 6 · Off Pace · Soft pace

Soft, off pace trip from gate 6, on a heavy track.

Get On bet365 - Offer bet365

Odds correct at time of writing

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Author Michael Kruse

Michael founded KRUZEY after 15+ years betting on Australian racing - most of it learning expensive lessons the hard way. He's obsessive about form analysis and has a soft spot for finding value in the quaddie markets everyone else ignores. At KRUZEY, Michael covers racing tips, bookmaker reviews, and anything involving crunching numbers to find an edge. He's up before dawn most race days studying the fields, and reckons a well-constructed quaddie is one of life's simple pleasures. Connect on LinkedIn Email Contact