St Kilda vs Western Bulldogs Prediction
St Kilda host Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium in Round…

Collingwood host Port Adelaide at the Melbourne Cricket Ground in Round 15, and the model makes the Magpies winners, 93 to 79, with the home side carrying the fresher legs.
$1.46
$1.88
$1.89
$5.19
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Odds correct at time of posting
Neither side rolls into this one in flying touch, with both winning just one of their past five. What separates them in the model is the home deck, the rest, and the momentum reading, all of which sit with Collingwood at the MCG.
The model has the Magpies home by 14, 93 to 79, and rates them clear favourites at $1.46. Collingwood come in off the longer break, twelve days against Port’s seven, and hold a comfortable momentum edge. Taking Collingwood to win is the read the numbers support.
The line sits right on the model’s number. The market asks Collingwood to give up 13.5 points, and a projected winning margin of 14 just clears it. Collingwood at -13.5 for $1.88 is the side of a line the model edges, though it is the tightest of the calls.
The total leans over for a change. The model projects 172 between them, above the market number set at 163.5. With the home side expected to pile on a winning score, Over 163.5 for $1.89 carries the value.
Collingwood to win at the MCG, edging the line start, with the points pushing over 163.5.
Rest, momentum and home advantage tip a contest between two out of form sides Collingwood’s way, just enough to edge the line on these numbers. With a winning score expected, the total leans over.
| Match | Collingwood Magpies vs Port Adelaide Power |
| Date | Saturday, June 20 |
| Kick-off | 7:35pm AEST |
| Venue | Melbourne Cricket Ground |
| Round | AFL Round 15 |
| Status | Scheduled |
| Our Tip | Magpies Win, Magpies -13.5 & Over 163.5 @ $5.19 |
| Predicted Score | Collingwood Magpies 93 – Port Adelaide Power 79 |
The model favours Collingwood to win at home, projecting a final score of 93 to 79, a margin of 14 points.
The market has Collingwood giving up 13.5 points. With the model projecting a Collingwood win by 14, Collingwood at -13.5 edges the start for $1.88.
The model projects 172 points combined, above the market total of 163.5, which puts the value on the over at $1.89.