Adelaide vs Richmond Prediction

AFL Round 22 • 2026

Model Predicted Final Score

ADE

$1.02

Saturday, August 8 • 7:35pm AEST

114 : 57

Adelaide Oval

RIC

$17.00

Adelaide Crows by 57 points

Model Predicted Margin

Adelaide Crows by 57

Current Market

Adelaide Crows -55.5

1.5 pts edge

Our Bets This Game

H2HAdelaide Crows

$1.02

LINEAdelaide Crows -55.5

$1.90

TOTALOver 157.5 points

$1.85

MULTIAdelaide Crows Win, Over 157.5 points & Jordan Dawson Anytime Goal

$2.42

Claim Tips at Unibet - Offer unibet

Odds correct at time of posting

Adelaide Have Put 72 And 79 On Sides In The Past Month. Richmond Have Been Beaten By 57 And 70 In The Same Window.

Light rain and a bit of breeze is forecast for Adelaide Oval. Wet weather footy drags scores down, shortens the game and makes 55.5 a lot harder to reach, and that is the honest risk on this bet. I am wearing it, because for the weather to save Richmond they have to hold Adelaide down for four quarters, and nothing they have done in the past month says they can. If it properly buckets down, I am gone. Light rain and Adelaide still win the contest and still kick a score.

Adelaide own the ruck and the contest

Adelaide beat Richmond up at the stoppages by a distance, and they hunt much harder without the football. First use plus pressure means one side attacks and the other side spends the night defending. Adelaide have gone past 120 twice in the past month. That is what happens when a good side gets to play the game on its own terms.

The team news does not move my number

Reilly O’Brien comes into the Adelaide ruck for the managed Lachlan McAndrew, only his second AFL game of the season, and I am not worried about it. Richmond get Judson Clarke back in and are without Luke Trainor through suspension. A few changes on both sides and none of it gets me off 57.

Richmond are coming off a win and it changes little

Richmond beat West Coast last week. The sides that have properly tested them lately did it by 57 and 70. One win over the bottom of the ladder is not evidence they can live with a side sitting fourth for four quarters.

Adelaide vs Richmond Tip

Adelaide to cover the 55.5 at $1.90. I make it 57, so there is 1.5 points in it. Small stakes.

Adelaide vs Richmond Key Stats

Adelaide vs Richmond Form Guide

Player Prop Predictions

Tyler Sonsie to kick a goal, $2.95. He kicked one last start and has found a goal in two of his last four. At $2.95 he only needs one moment inside 50 to pay.

Taylor Walker two or more goals, $1.41. Two last start, three the week before that and a five before that. Tex is holding marks and finishing them, so two or more in three of his last six makes $1.41 fair.

Jack Ross 25 or more disposals, $1.82. 27 touches last start on top of 26 the game before. The ball keeps finding him and 25 or more in two of his last four says $1.82 is worth taking.

James Peatling 20 or more disposals, $1.45. A quiet 13 last start hides the 28 he racked up the week prior, and he has been over 20 in four of his last seven. If Adelaide controls the game the way I have it, he will get plenty of it.

Jordan Dawson to kick a goal, $1.28. He’s hit the scoreboard in four of his last seven.

These prop odds are Sportsbet’s, correct at time of posting. Prices move, so check before you bet and take the best one going. Late team changes can knock out any leg.

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